Previously a college football reporter for CBSSports.com. 4 quarterback, behind Alabama's Bryce Young, Ohio State's C.J. Evaluators say they love Lock's arm and moxie, but he must prove he can read defenses consistently. He got beat up over the course of the season, suffering a high ankle sprain in December that cost him two games. These are the quarterbacks whom we may call successful. Copyright 2019-2023. Giants defensive coordinator Wink Martindale values man coverage skills, and the Giants sorely lacked that this season. After re-inventing himself with Seattle, Smith could return to the place it all started with a chance to make good on the sky-high potential that led Gang Green to draft him nine years ago. There have been a few flashes with big passes and big runs, but the proficiency and the efficiency have not been there. He had that rep coming out of college. The plot below shows the progression of the passing grade Bayesian forecast for every rookie quarterback from 2007-2019 with at least 200 dropbacks. Murray is in the same area as the successes who performed better in terms of EPA than PFF grade, and those successes include Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson. If Jones became available as an unrestricted free agent, he would profile as an exemplary fit for Arthur Smiths offense. Make no mistake: Murray is not a run-first quarterback. Wideout Chris Olave is coming off a strong rookie year and Alvin Kamara is still one of the league's most dynamic running backs when healthy. Jones offers a different skill set. Stidham created considerable buzz for his work up the Patriots' backup depth chart a year ago. Players the Jaguars could target Turner has the fastest time of this year's draft class so far. Only five quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, and Patrick Mahomes have reached that annual salary. We are keeping Stidham out of the top five, with an asterisk, because he didn't play significant snaps last year and the arrival of Cam Newton muddles his outlook. That last stat is significant. An important context to keep in mind is that the projection lines in the plots above only represent the best guess, i.e., mean projection. 2023 NFL Scouting Combine: Florida QB Anthony Richardson You gotta be tuned up, you gotta be tuned in with your mechanics.". The Panthers accomplished that feat despite deploying a revolving door of subpar signal-callers. Anthony Richardson, Florida = Cam Newton: Both possess rare size and Daniel Jones Jones looked vastly improved last season, but two first-rounders is the price tag for elite quarterbacks which Jones isnt. So that's a big concern I think with a lot of teams.". The team already came to terms with a new head coach in Frank Reich and just needs a viable piece under center to start contending as early as next season. PFF famously grades every player on every play. There's been a glaring lack of continuity all across the line with the reshuffling at both tackles and center, an equal critical positionfor a young QB. Jones would be one of the more naturally talented quarterbacks McDaniels has had to work with. Its incredibly unlikely that Atlanta would sign a franchise-tagged Jones to an offer sheet; if the Giants failed to match the proposal, the Falcons would have to send two first-round picks to New York. Pick: No. For the most part when not throwing to fellow rookie Darius Slayton, Joneswas reined in as a rookie and not allowed to grow much under former offensive-minded coach Pat Shurmur and offensive coordinator Mike Shula, who had a past of conflicting concepts. "He's younger, he can make plays when things aren't perfect and he's accurate.". Still, that may be the only "con. Sixty quarterbacks attempted at least 50 passes in 2022 Mariota, Ridder, and Jones were among the 13 signal-callers who used play action on at least 30 percent of their dropbacks. Like the Falcons, the Raiders have plenty of space ($48.4 million) to make meaningful additions this offseason. There havent been any successes since 2007 for rookies who performed as poorly as Haskins in terms of EPA per dropback. The team spent big free-agent capital on former Lions wide receiver Kenny Golladay and also used a first-round pick on Florida wide receiver Kadarius Toney, after missing out on Alabama's DeVonta Smith. "And he's a tough dude. The next step will be strengthening the connection with Golladay and Toney, who both were hamstrung and missed critical trainng camp time with their new QB. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin represent dream targets for any quarterback. There are only a few players who had produced better forecasts at the end of their first seasons, and well identify who those passers were in the next section. 2 overall and would be wise to move on from the young signal-caller after an abysmal sophomore season. Rather than languish through a potential lost season in 2023, the Titans could ink a veteran like Smith to serve as a high-end bridge quarterback. Stroud and Kentucky's Will Levis. 6 and Dwayne Haskins Jones, who recently changed agencies from Creative Artists Agency to Athletes First, may be targeting a salary as high as $45 million per year. Copyright 2023 YB Media, LLC. The No. MORE: NFL's coaching hot seat index after Week 1. While he was inaccurate at times, he ranked ninth in QBR (71.5) against man coverage among the 37 quarterbacks with at least 200 action plays. He showed he can lead a winning team if he's supported by a strong running gamesomething Washington has with Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr.and his passing stats should improve thanks to the presence of quality pass-catching talent like Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson. "Lamar, you know what you have to do to stop him. While we dont know everything about a young quarterback after just his rookie season, we do at least know some things. While Jones has every right to target his preferred salary range, New York has every right to use the franchise tag and re-assess next offseason. In his first year as head coach, Brian Daboll led New York to a 9-7-1 record and a playoff victory in the wild-card round despite fielding what most believed was a talent-deficient roster. The 31-year-old could have similar success in Atlanta. The team parted ways with veteran cornerback James Bradberry last offseason knowing it would have to deal with the consequences. NFL combine: What C.J. Stroud, Will Levis and other top My analysis is less optimistic about his future, starting him from a lower base due to his poor draft pedigree as a sixth-round pick. The Giants had been hoping for Jones price tag to come in around $30 to $40 million, which would place him in the middle-class tier of quarterback salaries that also includes Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins. "When I got to high school, just seeing how dynamic Lamar (Jackson) was, I tried to implement both of those guys in my life. Applying Bayesian updating to each dropback for all of the 2019 rookies gives us a best guess forecast for true passing grade for each quarterback, along with ranges of outcomes that reflect the confidence we should have in our assessments. I'm gonna work, I'm gonna be dedicated to my craft, I'm gonna be a leader in that organization. By inking Jones this offseason, the Commanders would both finally have the young, talented quarterback they have long coveted and leave the New York Giants with a hole at the most important position. New York Giants general manager Joe Schoen talks quarterback Daniel Jones' free agency, 2023 draft strategy, and more. But questions remain about his decision making, accuracy and overall polish at the game's most challenging position. The 2022 NFL season is in the books, and it's now time to turn our attention to draft season. Jones is still just 25 years old heading into his fifth professional season. Here's a breakdown of his first three seasons in the NFL: MORE: Breaking down Daniel Jones' career turnover tendencies. Most of the successful rookie quarterbacks produced forecasts in the upper half of the plot post-rookie season, with Lamar Jackson, Jared Goff and Derek Carr being the only successes below Minshew and Jones. Jones may not like First, youll notice that Murrays forecast starts higher than the rest, as No. At his end-of-season press conference in January, Giants general manager Joe Schoen all but admitted he would use the franchise tender on Jones if forced to choose. That's a ton ofwholesale moves in a short period of time to try to support and fix Jones. But the Jaguars really do like Minshew, whose 3.5 touchdown-to-interception ratio topped all rookies. Top QB in draft: I definitely don't want to play for 1 team Daniel Jones actually wants more than $45M per. Stroud, Ohio State = Jared Goff: Both prospects were accurate, and possess the necessary arm talent to make all of the throws. There may not be a better option available, however. For now, Ryan Tannehill is still Tennessees projected starting quarterback. Web"He's got something to him, man," one veteran NFL quarterback said. 1 overall picks typically have better careers than quarterbacks taken lower in the draft, even those in the top half of the first round like Jones and Haskins. section: | slug: perfect-giants-2023-nfl-draft-plan-get-daniel-jones-or-another-qb-a-no-1-caliber-wr-revamp-secondary | sport: football | route: article_single_special | He'll need it to master Jay Gruden's West Coast terminology in short order. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, the average true air distance of his completions was 19.4 yards, the seventh highest in the NFL, and higher than Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Matt Ryan. 1 passer. The veteran would likely have an easy time transitioning to Atlanta's offense, as ESPN's Jeremy Fowler called him a perfect fit for Arthur Smith's system. The Titans likely still have some time left in Derrick Henry's prime too. 133 | 2019 QBR: 0.1 Garoppolo appeared in 57 games for San Francisco, completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 13,599 yards and 82 touchdowns against 42 interceptions. Kansas City Chiefs general manager Brett Veach acknowledged this week at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine the work that needs to be done to get under the salary cap. The only quarterback worse than Haskins in terms of EPA forecast is Josh Rosen, who Im declaring a bust already despite not having finished out his rookie deal. Although the Titans could opt to utilize a draft selection, their options could be limited when they get on the clock at No. They still have plenty of work to do, as Carr will likely earn something in the neighborhood of $35 million per year on his next deal. The Seahawks may not see Smith as their long-term answer, but he can still keep this squad afloat and a tough team to beat if he continues playing at the same level. McDaniels would be able to truly open the playbook and install one of the league's more explosive offenses with a quarterback as uniquely talented as Jackson under center. The $37M-AAV range has emerged as a sweet spot here; that would check in around the price of a 2024 Jones franchise tag. The jobs of Gettleman and Judge also are on the line with the lack of winning tied to the lack of offense. The season has come to an end for the New York Giants, but there are reasons to be excited about the future. Chris Raybon ranks seven quarterbacks of the past three draft classes by their franchise QB potential. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. Although owner Woody Johnson reportedly believes Wilson can be "salvaged", shipping him offWFAN's Boomer Esiason believes Wilson's presence may be putting Carr off from joining the Jetsand replacing him with an established veteran would immediately lift New York to contending status. On the positive side, Jones did have an acceptable TD:INT ratio of 24 to 12 and also directed two Manning-like game-winning drives as a rookie. Which duo has the most goal contributions in Europe this season? In the 2019 draft, three quarterbacks were selected in the first round: Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray at first overall, Daniel Jones at No. negotiations with Jones have been difficult, per reports, ESPNs Matt Miller on Anthony Richardson at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine, trade-up scenario for CJ Stroud proposed by CBS Sports, Mike White reveals thoughts on Jets amid Aaron Rodgers, Derek Carr rumors, C.J. Although Vegas and Jackson would be a strong fit, there is one better place for him in 2023. We still dont know a whole lot after 200-600 NFL dropbacks. In an ideal world, both work out and serve as the starting boundary cornerbacks for quite some time. However, ESPNs Dianna Russini reported on Feb. 28 that New York is set on a certain number they think Daniel Jones is worth, a figure that is nowhere near what Jones camp believes hes worth. Interior OL | Edge The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. "I wanna be like Patrick Mahomes, I wanna be like Tom Brady -- I wanna be one of the greats, you know, I will be one of the greats because I'm willing to work that hard and get to that point.". Factor in some quality pass-catchers in Garrett Wilson and Elijah Moore and this team is a shoo-in playoff contender with Carr running the show. Pro Football Network, LLC. Carr would allow the team to balance out the offense more and unlock the talents of DJ Moore and Terrace Marshall Jr. Carr may not want to go to a rebuilding team at the age of 31, however, and Carolina still has a lot of improvements to make outside the QB position after selling off established talents like Christian McCaffrey and Robbie Anderson last season. "Physically talented. The New York Giants are reportedly doing their due diligence on the quarterback class ahead of the 2023 NFL Draft. Jones, who recently changed agencies from Creative Artists Agency to Athletes First, may be targeting a salary as high as $45 million per year. There may not be many superstar quarterbacks available this offseason, but there are several impact talents set to hit the open market next month. Houston is coming off a brutal three-year stretch in which the team has won a mere 11 games while churning through four head coaches and trying multiple options out under center. Jones is scheduled to become a free agent in mid-March, but the Giants will likely assign him the franchise tag if the two sides cant agree to an extension. All Rights Reserved. NFL Next Gen Stats had Stidham with a 7.9% completion percentage above expectation in the 2019 preseason, seventh among the 78 quarterbacks with at least 25 passes. His mobility would open things up for some interesting scheming from the jump and should only get more interesting as the signal-caller gets brought up to speed and comfortable in the system. "I trained for everything, so I'm trying to showcase what I'm able to do.". Daniel Jones Free Agency Predictions: Landing Spots Include Murray's ability to throw unscripted or from the pocket has people inside the league projecting big things for him. "My whole thing was I didn't think he was an instant starter. Williams does a good job of staying in-phase up the boundary, but he missed most of the season with a torn ACL. Well form forecasts for their true passing ability in terms of grades and expected points added (EPA), properly weighing results based on the sample size of dropbacks and priors, or pre-NFL expectations, based on their respective draft positions. Jones has an 8-19 regular-season record going into Week 2 of 2021 in replacing two-time Super Bowl winner Eli Manning. One of Lock's biggest issues could be edge protection. "I don't even know what that means, 'project label,' " Richardson said. 1 | 2019 QBR: 55.7 (15th) With the Giants finally getting back to the playoffs for the first time since 2016 and winning a postseason matchup for the first time since their Super Bowl run in 2011, the team should want Jones back for a chance to build on that campaign. New York is in deep negotiations with QB Daniel Jones, looking to extend the 25-year-old and solidify him as their franchise quarterback. "Using my hips. More was put on Jones as Slayton remained his best receiving option. "Giants can work with that.". "Just being consistent with my accuracy. Minshew has an edge that nearly earned him a top-three spot. Jahmyr Gibbs, RB. Outside the pocket, Murray's QBR dropped to 25.2, a mark that ranked 21st. NFL.com keeps you up to date with all of the latest league news from around the NFL. But Las Vegas quarterback situation is even more wide open than Atlantas after the club released longtime starter Derek Carr in February. Richardson put together an enticing highlight reel in 2022 during his redshirt sophomore campaign, which saw him put up 2,549 yards (212.4 per game) and a 17:9 TD-to-INT ratio through the air, as well as 654 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground. The team has made it clear it desires the veteran quarterback and has been making a series of moves to free up finances for a potential contract offer. The first plot highlights the 2019 class in red along with the quarterbacks who either maintained starting status beyond their rookie contracts or have yet to finish them. Now in his third year, it has been hard to decipher whether Joness flaws are definitive or if they are the result of other factors. Making a move too early is better than too late, just ask the Cardinals brass, who gave an early hook to Josh Rosen after he produced the second-worst post-rookie forecast since 2007. Atlanta has several avenues to pursue other passers, including the No. Given the reported gap between Jones asking price and the rate at which New York is comfortable paying its fifth-year quarterback, the franchise tender appears overwhelmingly likely. And I started calling myself Cam Jackson in the 11th grade, just trying to make big plays.". NFL execs rank the potential of Kyler Murray, Daniel 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. The simplest option is sometimes the best one and that is certainly the case here. Draft Class: 2019: Dropbacks: The Raiders are a tempting landing spot for any free-agent quarterback this offseason. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? "Kyler can still take a normal drop, then can makes instinctual lateral slides in the pocket to get himself into an open throwing lane," an NFC personnel exec said. 1-caliber WR, revamp secondary - CBSSports.com NFL Draft Mock Drafts Prospect Somewhere in the middle with still a wide range of outcomes is Daniel Jones, whom the Giants took No. All Rights Reserved. While Carr isn't coming off his best season, he still managed to earn a Pro Bowl nod after completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 3,522 yards and 24 touchdowns. Pro Football Network strives to passionately deliver purposeful, captivating, and exceptional football content. Youre starting to feel the time crunch a little bit, Schoen said. ", What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? The Jets are downright desperate for a capable quarterback at this point and Smith proved himself to be the most competent of all the currently available free agents at the position last year. All Rights Reserved. They were hamstrung by health issues last year but still have the makings of a squad good enough to contend for a championship. Sterling Shepard traded the concussion that cost him games early in 2019 for turf toe. Daniel Jones (American football) - Wikipedia In the 2019 draft, three quarterbacks were selected in the first round: Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray at first overall, Daniel Jones at No. Given that tepid showing and a desire to finally contend again in the post-Matt Ryan era, the Falcons should have plenty of interest in Jackson this offseason. Previewing the 2023 college baseball season: Teams and players to watch, key storylines, Road to the men's Frozen Four: Conference tournaments at a glance, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Dr. A's weekly risers and fallers: Jeremy Sochan, Christian Wood make the list. ", A post shared by With The First Pick (@nfldraftcbs), Young completed 64.5 percent of his passes for 3,328 yards, 32 touchdowns and five interceptions in 12 games played this past season. Young quarterbacks with Jones pedigree dont often hit the open market, and the Titans would have to at least consider a pursuit if the Giants fail to retain him. Although the two never found success together in their first stopAllen was canned after an 0-4 start to Carr's rookie seasonthe pairing could bear fruit this time around. Couple all of that with a stout defense, and Lock will have no excuses not to build off his 1,020-yard, seven-touchdown performance on 100-of-156 passing last year. Murray highlights a 2019 quarterback draft class that has a chance to flourish in 2020. New York is in deep negotiations with I laid out a more detailed explanation about the methodology behind this analysis in a previous article when I applied it to the 2017 quarterback class. But when Richardson envisions his NFL career, he has some other signal-callers in mind. When we run the same analysis using passing efficiency as measured by EPA Murray separates himself from the other rookies. Many expected Murray to take off more behind a suspect offensive line, but he averaged 4.9 rushing attempts per game over the final nine games, strengthening those future Russell Wilson comps as a run-to-throw QB. "My target time is: Definitely fast," Richardson said. Jones had his best campaign yet in 2022, reaching career highs in completion percentage (67.2 percent) and passing yardage (3,205). CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | For a team like the Texans, he could be the proven winner and steady veteran hand the club needs to return to prominence. quarterback However, the landscape is a bit more troubling for Jones, Minshew and Haskins. Jeremy Fowler polled a panel of more than 50 coaches, execs, scouts and players to come up with top-10 rankings for 2020: QB | RB | TE | WR | OT Alabama quarterback Bryce Young -- considered one of the top QB prospects in the 2023 NFL Draft -- downplayed questions about his size on Friday at the scouting combine. In this analysis, Im going to go through the grades and dropback efficiency for 2019 rookie quarterbacks with at least 200 dropbacks: Murray, Jones, Haskins and sixth-round selection Gardner Minshew. Jones would present an intriguing option for the Falcons. NFL combine 40-yard dash: Michigan CB DJ Turner runs one of That failure to get the best out of Jones cost Shurmur and Shula their jobs, with Joe Judge and former Cowboys offensive-minded coach Jason Garrett as their respective replacements. He's a runner. The team has also some promising wideoutsincluding 2022 first-rounder Treylon Burkswho could see their development sped up working with Smith. He led the team to a Super Bowl after the 2019 campaign and took the squad back to the NFC Championship Game two years later. More NFL coverage , "Watch the way he handles the ball, his fakes, his play-action -- there's a lot of skill there," one NFC offensive coach said. Vinnie Iyer is an NFL writer at The Sporting News. "He's instinctual," one NFL offensive coordinator said. He's able to make all the throws and still has enough mobility to extend plays and avoid the rush. Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit Beyond 2017 NFL Draft, new QBs such as Daniel Jones overtaking Bears Mitch Trubisky Eight quarterbacks from the 2017, 18 and 19 draft classes have a higher passer rating than Trubisky. Now, evaluators don't know what to think. All that, plus the hope of Barkley coming back fully healthy and into rookie form, gave the Giants high expectations for Jones and the offense. Mayfield's rookie-record 27 touchdowns came in 13 starts and most of a 14th game in 2018. Anthony Richardson landing spots: Which NFL team is most likely to draft toolsy quarterback prospect? It doesnt have to be that way. The season has come to a close for most NFL teams, and now is the time of reflection and reassessment. "He's got some magic to him." The numbers have not been pretty for Jones. Jimmy Garoppolo is one of the more intriguing free agent quarterbacks available right now. Schoen said New York had productive conversations with Jones and Barkleys representatives at the Scouting Combine this week, adding hed prefer not to use the tag on either player. 15 | 2019 QBR: 26.8 His feel and creativity at that level were If they opt for the former, Garoppolo is a strong fit and could keep Tampa's championship window open for a few more years. He played college football at He did lose another fumble in Week 1, but he looked more comfortable and confident in what's around him and also used his legs well again for a second TD. He improved as a rushing threat (708 yards, eight touchdowns) while helping New York advance to the Divisional Round of the playoffs. They figured the team would sign a veteran to compete with Stidham, but not one to wholly (or at least expectedly) replace him. Garrett's plan was to go with the run-heavy offense he operated in Dallas with Ezekiel Elliott, only with Barkley as the new versatile workhorse.
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